THE MERIDIAN
Global South • Trade & Economy • November 2025 Edition
South–South Trade 2.0: Why Intra–Global South Supply Chains Are the Next Big Realignment
Asia, Africa and Latin America are shifting from commodity suppliers to co-producers in new industrial corridors. The next global trade revolution won’t run through Washington, Brussels or Beijing — but through Jakarta, Dar es Salaam, São Paulo and Mumbai.
South–South trade once meant little more than Africa shipping minerals to China, Latin America exporting soy to Asia and Southeast Asia supplying cheap garments to the world. That narrative is obsolete. A new economic geography is forming across the Global South — one where copper is refined in Indonesia before powering Indian grid batteries, Kenyan pharmaceuticals are manufactured with Brazilian inputs, and Emirati logistics firms connect East African ports directly to South Asian industrial clusters. This is not a simple increase in trade volume. It is a structural rewiring of who trades with whom, what they trade, and where value is added.
The Shift From Raw Materials to Co-Production
The most consequential transformation in Global South economics is the move from extraction-based exchange to co-production. Southeast Asia’s industrial parks now assemble African-bound machinery; Brazil’s agritech firms partner with Indian drone manufacturers; South African automotive suppliers integrate into Morocco–Turkey value chains. These are not rhetorical alliances but emerging production systems anchored in ports, financing platforms and bilateral trade corridors.
The change is propelled by three forces: diversification away from China-dominated manufacturing, rising geopolitical frictions that push countries to source from peers, and improving logistics infrastructure funded by Gulf, Indian and Asian capital. Together, they create new incentives to build shorter, politically safer, and often cheaper supply routes that bypass traditional Northern gateways.
The next wave of globalisation will be regional and plurilateral — not between the Global South and the West, but inside the Global South itself, through industrial corridors that layer logistics, manufacturing and payments systems across continents.
The New Corridors: Ports, Railways and Industrial Belts
Across Africa, Latin America and Asia, port expansions are reshaping trade routes. The UAE’s DP World is building a spine of Indian Ocean ports from Berbera to Maputo. India is investing in East African rail rehabilitation. Indonesia is strengthening inter-island logistics to support its mineral downstreaming hubs. What emerges is a lattice of connectivity that did not exist twenty years ago — a network that lowers costs and shortens lead times between emerging markets, allowing supply chains to stretch from São Paulo to Nairobi to Colombo without passing through Rotterdam or Los Angeles.
| Corridor | Key Nodes | Emerging Function |
|---|---|---|
| Indian Ocean Belt | Dubai • Mombasa • Dar es Salaam • Colombo • Chennai | Logistics backbone for Africa–Asia manufacturing and food trade |
| South Atlantic Link | Santos • Lagos • Walvis Bay | Agri-tech, energy inputs and machinery routes connecting Brazil and West Africa |
| Indo-Pacific Resource Chain | Jakarta • Manila • Mumbai | Critical minerals, electronics components, battery materials |
| Andes–SAARC Pharma Network | Bogotá • Hyderabad • Dhaka | Generic drugs, diagnostics, vaccine precursors |
Payments and Currencies: The Hidden Infrastructure
Trade corridors are useless without financial plumbing. Quietly, the Global South is building its own. India and the UAE have operationalised rupee–dirham settlements; Brazil and Indonesia are piloting local-currency invoicing; African central banks explore digital cross-border payment systems through the PAPSS platform. These mechanisms reduce reliance on the dollar, cut transaction costs and shield trade from external sanctions or interest-rate shocks.
The rise of local currency trade is uneven, but the direction is unmistakable. For countries navigating volatile exchange-rate regimes, access to predictable settlement channels is itself an industrial advantage.
Why the West Is Losing Market Share
Western economies still dominate high-end capital goods and intellectual property, but they are gradually ceding middle-tier manufacturing, infrastructure finance and commodity processing to Southern players. The reasons are structural: slower Western growth, political constraints on investment in “risky” markets, and an industrial logic that increasingly favours shorter, South-oriented supply chains over transcontinental ones. Many African and Asian firms find Southern partners more flexible, more willing to co-invest and less encumbered by geopolitical strings.
The Case Studies Behind the Shift
Brazil’s growing fertiliser exports to West Africa, India’s rail and power projects across East Africa, Southeast Asia’s dominance in midstream nickel and copper refining, and Turkey’s automotive and construction supply chains stretching across the Sahel — all demonstrate how South–South integration is moving beyond rhetoric into durable economic geography. These trends are reinforced by Gulf sovereign wealth funds, which finance ports, food corridors and energy partnerships that bind continents together.
The Risks: Fragmentation, Competing Standards and Governance Gaps
The rise of South–South trade is not costless. Competing regulatory standards can delay shipments, customs systems remain inconsistent, and some infrastructure partnerships suffer from governance opacity that produces local backlash. Meanwhile, the very speed of the shift can entrench unequal relationships — with mid-sized emerging markets wielding disproportionate power over smaller economies.
The Future: A Multipolar Trade System Built From the Bottom Up
The global trading system that dominated the last half-century was top-down: Western demand pulled goods from East Asia; China processed commodities from the Global South; logistics routes centred on Northern ports. The new system is bottom-up. It grows from shared geography, complementary capabilities and political incentives that favour peers over superpowers.
South–South trade will not replace the West or China. It will rebalance them. The rise of this new network — fragmented, flexible, but increasingly coordinated — marks the quiet emergence of a multipolar trading world that reflects the economic gravity of the 21st century rather than the historical legacies of the 20th.
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